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Post by mhbruin on Oct 6, 2020 9:20:01 GMT -8
Biden is surging in the polls. 538 has Biden's lead at 8.8%. Remember those "experts" who said "this race will tighten"? How incompetent do you have to be as a politician to screw up getting sick? --------------------------------- Biden gets a surprising "endorsement". It's from Goldman Sachs who says that economy will do better under Biden than Trump. Goldman Sachs says ...--------------------------------- Ron Brownstein, who is a excellent political analyst has a good story on how the Southeast is moving toward the Democrats. Why the Southeast is up for grabs in the 2020 election--------------------------------- Carl Bernstein calls the President "homicidally negligent". And I think he his right--------------------------------- Florida's voter registration system crashed on the last day of voter registration Glitch or intentional? It's Florida---------------------------------------- The White House outbreak shows testing alone is not an effective strategy to stop infections. However, that seems to be the same strategy being used by many sporting teams including most college teams. There have been a number of outbreaks among college and professional teams. Is their whole strategy as flawed as that of the White House? The White House testing strategy was doomed---------------------
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Post by mhbruin on Oct 6, 2020 9:30:33 GMT -8
Biden leads by 6% or more in enough states to win 281 Electoral Votes.
That means it would take a combined 6% of polling error, movement toward Trump, and voter suppression for Trump to even have a chance to win the election.
That strikes me as pretty unlikely. More movement away from Trump seems more likely to me, since undecided voters tend to break toward the challenger in most elections and Trump is a very unpopular incumbent.
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Post by andyh64000 on Oct 6, 2020 9:37:17 GMT -8
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Post by mhbruin on Oct 6, 2020 10:39:56 GMT -8
Something else to consider re. Trump
A humbling Herman Cain/coronavirus timeline:
6/24: Attends Trump rally, maskless 7/2: Tests positive for Covid-19 7/10: Says he’s improving 7/15: Says his doctors seem happy 7/27: Says he’s really getting better 7/30: Dies
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Post by mhbruin on Oct 6, 2020 13:04:00 GMT -8
And I finally got the answer to a question that has puzzled me all year. Why does that same pollster show different results for the same poll.
Today, an A+ Monmouth Poll of PA showed Biden up by 8 and Biden up by 12. Apparently the +8 is for a low turnout model and +12 is for a high turnout model.
It doesn't fully explain why some pollsters show 6 or more results, but most likely it has to do with hedging their bets by differently likely-voter and turnout models.
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Post by mhbruin on Oct 6, 2020 13:18:34 GMT -8
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hasben
Resident Member
Posts: 1,023
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Post by hasben on Oct 6, 2020 13:33:00 GMT -8
couldn't find what you're talking about. maybe she deleted it.
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Post by mhbruin on Oct 6, 2020 14:52:12 GMT -8
The link worked for me, but it is a picture of herself in a mask with the caption:
I'm furious. Wear your masks. Don't listen to our idiot f'ing president piece of sheet. Protect yourselves and those around you.
(I didn't use her 4-letter words.)
Clearly she take after he father more than her mother.
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hasben
Resident Member
Posts: 1,023
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Post by hasben on Oct 6, 2020 16:41:08 GMT -8
Yeah, she should have added "or my idiot mother."
We got A hole S Miller positive now. Keep hoping for Barr and Giuliani. Surely all of these despicables can't get the drugs trump got and just shake it off. trump will make sure they all stay infected with his behavior.
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Post by mhbruin on Oct 6, 2020 16:49:18 GMT -8
Here's hoping Miller gets treated by only immigrant doctors and nurses. BTW, Keith Olberman is back doing political commentary. The announcement
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