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Post by mhbruin on Apr 21, 2020 8:12:09 GMT -8
Total % New Total % New Active % Change in
Date Cases Incr Cases Deaths Incr Deaths Cases Incr Active
8-Apr 434,927 8.6% 34,592 14,788 15.2% 1,947 397,248 8.6% 31,428
9-Apr 468,566 7.7% 33,639 16,691 12.9% 1,903 425,947 7.2% 28,699
10-Apr 502,876 7.3% 34,310 18,747 12.3% 2,056 456,815 7.2% 30,868
11-Apr 532,879 6.0% 30,003 20,577 9.8% 1,830 481,849 6.2% 25,034
12-Apr 560,300 5.1% 27,421 22,105 7.4% 1,528 505,561 5.1% 23,712
13-Apr 586,941 4.8% 26,641 23,640 6.9% 1,535 526,353 4.1% 20,792
14-Apr 617,661 5.2% 30,720 29,825 26.2% 6,185 549,019 4.3% 22,666
15-Apr 648,148 4.9% 30,487 32,588 9.3% 2,763 566,859 3.2% 17,840
16-Apr 677,570 4.5% 29,422 34,617 6.2% 2,029 586,445 3.5% 19,586
17-Apr 709,735 4.7% 32,165 37,154 7.3% 2,537 612,071 4.4% 25,626
18-Apr 738,792 4.1% 29,057 39,014 5.0% 1,860 631,509 3.2% 19,438
19-Apr 764,636 3.5% 25,844 40,575 4.0% 1,561 652,874 3.4% 21,365
20-Apr 792,759 3.7% 28,123 42,514 4.8% 1,939 677,856 3.8% 24,982
Total cases still hover in the 25-30,000 range. Three days of deaths under 2,000, which is good. We saw that same thing last Sat, Sun, Monday, and then an increase during the week. It's something to keep an eye on.
Overall, new cases may be slightly trending down. With increased testing, that's a pretty good sign.
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Post by mhbruin on Apr 21, 2020 8:14:40 GMT -8
-------------------------- CALIFORNIA ----------------------
Total % New Total % New
Date Cases Increase Cases Deaths Increase Deaths
7-Apr 17,460 9.0% 1,441 434 14.2% 54
8-Apr 18,830 7.8% 1,370 498 14.7% 64
9-Apr 19,971 6.1% 1,141 559 12.2% 61
10-Apr 21,073 5.5% 1,102 584 4.5% 25
11-Apr 22,173 5.2% 1,100 630 7.9% 46
12-Apr 23,177 4.5% 1,004 674 7.0% 44
13-Apr 24,139 4.2% 962 727 7.9% 53
14-Apr 25,536 5.8% 1,397 782 7.6% 55
15-Apr 26,838 5.1% 1,302 864 10.5% 82
16-Apr 27,634 3.0% 796 951 10.1% 87
17-Apr 29,175 5.6% 1,541 1,041 9.5% 90
18-Apr 30,718 5.3% 1,543 1,147 10.2% 106
19-Apr 31,430 2.3% 712 1,175 2.4% 28
20-Apr 33,686 7.2% 2,256 1,223 4.1% 48
Yesterday was California's worst day ever for new cases. Is it more tests or a sign of something. It is still just one data point.
Compared to other days, 48 deaths is reasonable.
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Post by mhbruin on Apr 21, 2020 8:29:41 GMT -8
Sorry about the formatting. -------------------------- CALIFORNIA ---------------------- Total % New Total % New
Date Cases Incr Cases Deaths Incr Deaths
7-Apr 17,460 9.0% 1,441 434 14.2% 54
8-Apr 18,830 7.8% 1,370 498 14.7% 64
9-Apr 19,971 6.1% 1,141 559 12.2% 61
10-Apr 21,073 5.5% 1,102 584 4.5% 25
11-Apr 22,173 5.2% 1,100 630 7.9% 46
12-Apr 23,177 4.5% 1,004 674 7.0% 44
13-Apr 24,139 4.2% 962 727 7.9% 53
14-Apr 25,536 5.8% 1,397 782 7.6% 55
15-Apr 26,838 5.1% 1,302 864 10.5% 82
16-Apr 27,634 3.0% 796 951 10.1% 87
17-Apr 29,175 5.6% 1,541 1,041 9.5% 90
18-Apr 30,718 5.3% 1,543 1,147 10.2% 106
19-Apr 31,430 2.3% 712 1,175 2.4% 28
20-Apr 33,686 7.2% 2,256 1,223 4.1% 48Meanwhile, yesterday Georgia had an increase in new cases of 7%. Compare that with the US increasing around 3% per day. But the Georgia governor has decided they are ready to open massage parlors, gyms, and tattoo parlors. What could possible go wrong? Or as the Conman in Chief puts it, "What have they got to lose?" |
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Post by Born2BBruin on Apr 21, 2020 8:40:54 GMT -8
I think the numbers will be very fluid for a while, especially considering the size of the country, the variability from state to state, the removal of social distancing restrictions in some areas, and the fact that numbers in California continue to rise, despite the early and fairly successful implementation of restrictions.
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Post by sagobob on Apr 21, 2020 8:40:57 GMT -8
Thanks for keeping me up to date, although the trend is not yet our friend. We're still climbing the learning curve as a headline in this mornings LA Times reads: "Hundreds of thousands in county (LA County) MIGHT (caps added by me) have had virus." The article is a stew of statistics and speculation.
I hope this forum can be kept free from "pests".
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 21, 2020 9:47:02 GMT -8
If Trump would get off his ass and do something maybe these numbers would get better.
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Post by Born2BBruin on Apr 21, 2020 12:03:15 GMT -8
If Trump would get off his ass and do something maybe these numbers would get better. I think on his ass, with his mouth shut, is absolutely the best place for trump to be. There's nothing he can do that will make things better. |
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Post by mhbruin on Apr 21, 2020 13:11:03 GMT -8
We are about to have a public health experiment in Georgia. It will be interesting to see how things change when everything opens on Friday. Here is a baseline. This doesn't seem like a lot of cases or deaths in a state of 10.4 million people. We will see if things take off. Unfortunately, it might be 2 weeks before we really see the effects, and by then it will be too late to put the genie back in the bottle. | DATE | TOTAL CASES | % INCREASE | NEW CASES | TOTAL DEATHS | % INCREASE | NEW DEATHS | 12-Apr
| 12,452 | 2.4% | 293 | 433 | 0.9% | 4 | | 13-Apr | 13,315 | 6.9% | 863 | 465 | 7.4% | 32 | | 14-Apr | 14,578 | 9.5% | 2,263 | 525 | 12.9% | 60 | | 15-Apr | 14,987 | 2.8% | 409 | 583 | 11.0% | 58
| | 16-Apr | 15,669 | 4.6% | 682 | 587 | 0.7% | 4 | 17-Apr
| 17,194 | 9.7% | 1,525 | 650 | 10.7% | 63 | | 18-Apr | 17,669 | 2.8% | 475 | 673 | 3.5% | 23 | | 19-Apr | 17,958 | 1.6% | 289 | 687 | 2.1% | 14 | | 20-Apr | 19,200 | 6.9% | 1,242 | 775 | 12.8% | 88 |
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