A majority oppose Trump and won't change their mind

Fully 53% of respondents in the latest Civiqs survey released Thursday said they "oppose President Trump, and there's almost nothing that could change that." Surpassing the 50% threshold on that question is a key marker since it gives Trump little wiggle room in his path to reelection in the Electoral College. Once more, those definitely opposing Trump’s reelection outpaced those definitely supporting him by 19 points.

Here’s the breakdown:

Support Trump, won't change: 34%

Support Trump, could change later: 8%

Neither support nor oppose Trump: 2%

Oppose Trump, could change later: 3%

Oppose Trump, won't change: 53%

Unsure: 1%

Taken together, 56% oppose Trump's reelection and 42% support it, but those opposed are much more fervent about their intentions.

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If "oppose Trump" equals "will vote for Biden", Trump is toast.