Post by Born2BBruin on Jul 10, 2020 12:14:20 GMT -8
Florida has more registered Democrats than Republicans; 5,127,920 to 4,851,116 by one count, a difference of more than 5%.
But as usual, Democrats tend to be more concentrated in urban areas. Democrats are the majority party in only 21 Florida counties, compared to 46 for Republicans.
So, it’s not surprising Republicans control the state legislature, with 73 seats in the House to the Democrats’ 46, and a slimmer 23 to 17 lead in the Senate.
I think anyone can see the Florida Senate is imminently flippable this year, but that 27 seat lead in the House seems pretty safe.
Or does it?
According to Swing Left, a progressive group trying to flip the statehouse this year, 11 seats held by GOP lawmakers are in districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Furthermore, another 10 districts occupied by Republicans were won by margins of less than five points.
Dems only need to win 14 of those seats to flip the House.
Link: Progressive group aims to turn Florida House blue
Florida’s GOP state party chairman obviously laughed at the possibility, pointing to Florida’s strong economy and the popularity of Governor DeSantis.
But that was in January; and things have changed.
Let’s just say the idea of Florida flipping blue isn’t as far-fetched as it might seem, which could have YUGE implications in both state and national politics.
But as usual, Democrats tend to be more concentrated in urban areas. Democrats are the majority party in only 21 Florida counties, compared to 46 for Republicans.
So, it’s not surprising Republicans control the state legislature, with 73 seats in the House to the Democrats’ 46, and a slimmer 23 to 17 lead in the Senate.
I think anyone can see the Florida Senate is imminently flippable this year, but that 27 seat lead in the House seems pretty safe.
Or does it?
According to Swing Left, a progressive group trying to flip the statehouse this year, 11 seats held by GOP lawmakers are in districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Furthermore, another 10 districts occupied by Republicans were won by margins of less than five points.
Dems only need to win 14 of those seats to flip the House.
Link: Progressive group aims to turn Florida House blue
Florida’s GOP state party chairman obviously laughed at the possibility, pointing to Florida’s strong economy and the popularity of Governor DeSantis.
But that was in January; and things have changed.
Let’s just say the idea of Florida flipping blue isn’t as far-fetched as it might seem, which could have YUGE implications in both state and national politics.
