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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:09:38 GMT -8
"I didn't attend the funeral, but I sent a nice letter saying I approved of it." - Mark Twain
Previous Guy Leads Among Voters Who Didn't Vote. Are they Really "Voters"?
Polls in recent months have shown former President Donald Trump has a narrow but consistent edge over President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election.
However, New York Times polling analyst has flagged what he describes as "one big flashing warning sign" when it comes to Trump's current polling strength.
Specifically, he notes that Trump's lead in the polls is due to support from less engaged voters, which he describes as voters who sat out the 2022 midterm elections.
"President Biden has actually led the last three Times/Siena national polls among those who voted in the 2020 election, even as he has trailed among registered voters overall," writes Cohn. "And looking back over the last few years, almost all of Mr. Trump’s gains have come from these less engaged voters."
Cohn contends that Biden cannot count on these voters moving back to him and he says that reaching these less engaged voters may be difficult because they don't get their information from traditional media sources such as newspapers and television news.
However, Cohn also thinks that this make's Trump current edge in the polls shaky at best.
"While the race has been stable so far, Mr. Trump’s dependence on disengaged voters makes it easy to imagine how it could quickly become more volatile," he writes. "As voters tune in over the next six months, there’s a chance that disengaged but traditionally Democratic voters could revert to their usual partisan leanings. Alternately, many of these disaffected voters might ultimately stay home, which might help Mr. Biden."
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:18:06 GMT -8
Something Else About Previous Guy is Smaller Than He ClaimsI Could Make the Picture Bigger. Would That Increase the Size of the Crowd?Donald Trump’s rally may be IN the South Bronx but it is not OF the South Bronx. Bluntly put, the Trump transplants are much whiter than the locals of the South Bronx, which is almost entirely Latino and Black. It's Also Whiter and Leaving Early. I Guess They Got Their Money to Attend.@jbellsatx replied, "Tiny crowd. People waking [sic] out while he’s talking. Hilarious." @shoutingdstnce also chimed in on the issue: "Max capacity limit is 2,300. And Trump still pays for people to attend his rallies on Craigslist."
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:20:45 GMT -8
The Brotherhood of the Traveling Pants
“Some of the greatest days of my business career were the toughest times, but I enjoyed waking up every single morning and go to battle,” he said. “A lot of people say to me today — the toughest business people, people that you know about — ‘Could I ask you a question? How do you do it?’ I say, ‘Do what?’ ‘How do you get up in the morning and put your pants on? Why do you put the pants on?’ I’ll explain it to you someday. ‘How do you do it? How do you get up? How do you do it?’”
Explain it To Us Now! Show Us How You Put Your Pants On.
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:22:27 GMT -8
It's Still Smarter Than Previous Guy
Google's new artificial intelligence (AI) search feature is facing criticism for providing erratic, inaccurate answers.
Its experimental "AI Overviews" tool has told some users searching for how to make cheese stick to pizza better that they could use "non-toxic glue". The search engine's AI-generated responses have also said geologists recommend humans eat one rock per day.
A Google spokesperson told the BBC they were "isolated examples".
Some of the answers appeared to be based on Reddit comments or articles written by satirical site, The Onion.
It's Not Telling Anyone to Drink Bleach
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:25:51 GMT -8
Private Equity Creates Public PainAngry that your favorite Red Lobster closed down? Wall Street wizardry had a lot to do with it. Red Lobster was America’s largest casual dining operation, serving 64 million customers a year in almost 600 locations across 44 states and Canada. Its May 19 bankruptcy filing and closing of almost 100 locations across the country has devastated its legion of fans and 36,000 workers. The chain is iconic enough to be featured in a Beyonce song. Assigning blame for company failures is tricky. But some analysts say the root of Red Lobster’s woes was not the endless shrimp promotions that some have blamed. Yes, the company lost $11 million from the shrimp escapade, its bankruptcy filing shows, and suffered from inflation and higher labor costs. But a bigger culprit in the company’s problems is a financing technique favored by a powerful force in the financial industry known as private equity. The technique, colloquially known as asset-stripping, has been a part of retail chain failures such as Sears, Mervyn’s and ShopKo as well as bankruptcies involving hospital and nursing home operations like Steward Healthcare and Manor Care. All had been owned by private equity. Asset-stripping occurs when an owner or investor in a company sells off some of its assets, taking the benefits for itself and hobbling the company. This practice is favored among some private-equity firms that buy companies, load them with debt to finance the purchases and hope to sell them at a profit in a few years to someone else. A common form of asset-stripping is known as a sale/leaseback and involves selling a company’s real estate; this type of transaction hobbled Red Lobster. In recent years, private-equity firms have invested heavily in all areas of industry, including retailers, restaurants, media and health care. Some 12 million workers are employed by private equity-backed firms, or 7 % of the workforce. Companies bought out and indebted by private equity go bankrupt 10 times more often than companies not purchased by these firms, academic research shows. In a report this month, Moody’s Ratings said leveraged buyouts like those pursued by many private-equity firms drive corporate defaults higher and reduce the amounts investors recover when the companies are restructured. Who Doesn't Like a Good Lobster Roll?
How private equity rolled Red Lobster
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:27:34 GMT -8
Yet These Voters are Still Undecided
During his National Rifle Association speech last weekend, Donald Trump mused about serving a potential third term as president if he wins in November.
“You know, FDR 16 years—almost 16 years—he was four terms," Trump said of Democratic President Franklin Delano Roosevelt. "I don’t know, are we going to be considered three-term? Or two-term?” Trump quipped, echoing other times he’s pondered staying in office indefinitely.
The lengthy tenure of Roosevelt, who helped guide the country out of a suffocating depression and eventually into World War II, led to the ratification of the 22nd Amendment, which prohibits presidents from serving more than two terms.
But Trump's jaunty meditations on being "president for life" are proving to be a real concern among swing voters this cycle.
A recent swing state focus group conducted by Sarah Longwell, a conservative anti-Trump strategist and host of The Bulwark’s Focus Group podcast, demonstrated pervasive unease with the notion, according to Bloomberg News’ Joshua Green.
The sentiment arose after the focus group moderator asked, “Does anybody think he may not abide by the 22nd Amendment of the Constitution and leave office after the 2028 election? Anyone worried about that?”
Seven of the eight participants raised their hands.
“I wouldn’t put it past him, now that he owns the RNC," said one man from Pennsylvania, “to say, ‘Don Jr. is going to do the next term, and he’ll get two. And then Barron will get two.’ And we’ll just have some fake monarchy.”
Democratic strategist Seiji Carpenter also stumbled upon the theme organically while running focus groups of voters who cast a ballot for Joe Biden in 2020 but were considering defecting this cycle.
“We were talking to Latino men and Asian American Pacific Islander women in battleground states,” he recalls, “and they went straight to the issue of ‘what if Trump won’t give up power?’”
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:28:49 GMT -8
We Don't Live in a Sane WorldTrump: I am conspiring with Putin to keep an American hostage so I can win the presidency In a sane world this would be utterly disqualifying
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:33:01 GMT -8
Will the Fate of the Nation be Decided by 12 New Yorkers?
For those respondents presented with the guilty scenario, Biden had a 4-percentage point advantage over Trump, 43%-39%, with 18% for someone else or not voting.
For those presented with the not-guilty scenario, Trump had a 6-point advantage over Biden, 44%-38%, with 18% for someone else or not voting.
Will the Fate of the Nation be Decided by 1 New Yorker Who Creates a Hung Jury?
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:34:53 GMT -8
Maybe He Just Had the Urge to Purge
It began last month with the arrest of a Russian deputy defense minister. Then the head of the ministry’s personnel directorate was hauled into court. This week, two more senior military officials were detained. All face charges of corruption, which they have denied.
The arrests started shortly before President Vladimir Putin began his fifth term and shuffled his ally, longtime Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, into a new post.
They immediately raised questions about whether Putin was reasserting control over the Defense Ministry amid the war in Ukraine, whether a turf battle had broken out between the military and the security services, or whether some other scenario was playing out behind the Kremlin’s walls.
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:37:32 GMT -8
You Are What You Drink
After more than a year of collecting test results for toxic “forever chemicals,” the EPA says almost 300 of America’s public drinking water systems – including some that serve hundreds of thousands of people – exceeded newly established annual limits.
That means these water utilities may need to start filtering their water or find new sources to comply with new rules limiting PFAS, or per-and polyfluoroalkyl substances. PFAS are nearly indestructible chemicals that have been shown to build up in human bodies, increasing the risk for certain types of cancer and other serious health complications.
USA TODAY recreated the EPA’s analysis and found public systems in Fort Worth, Texas; Fresno, California; Pensacola, Florida; and Augusta, Georgia, were among the hundreds whose sample averages landed above the new annual limits.
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That number is bound to grow over the next two years as more water utilities submit their test results. Last month, the EPA estimated that one in 10 – or more than 6,000 – systems may eventually need to take some sort of corrective action to rid their water of PFAS.
Forever Chemicals Won't Help You Live Forever. Just the Opposite.
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:40:10 GMT -8
There Once Was a Man From Nantucket. Who Tried to Save His Home with a Bucket.
This month, residents of the island of Nantucket, a storybook New England coastal retreat located 30 miles off the coast of Cape Cod, gathered for their annual town meeting and quietly acknowledged a mounting eco-crisis.
Erosion, which is typical for most islands, is now increasing in severity, threatening to reshape Nantucket's downtown and wash away the homes sitting on its edge. Permanent residents formally approved the designation of the entire island as an "Islands Coastal Resilience District," with hopes that state-backed help could follow.
A lot of real estate value is at stake. Over the past two centuries, Nantucket has gone from a whaling town to a hippie refuge to a holiday hot spot for billionaires. Its year-round population hovers at about 14,000, but over the summer, it balloons to 80,000 as the likes of Blackstone's Steve Schwarzman and former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, who own picturesque grey-shingled mansions lined with blooming hydrangea, descend on the island in their private jets, sporting Nantucket red and boat shoes.
But a changing climate is exacerbating the ever-present threat of erosion, and it's claiming more victims. Last month, real estate investor Barry Sternlicht had to demolish his home to prevent it from falling into the ocean; others with valuable beachfront properties have paid millions to move their houses further away from the sandy coast.
And it's only expected to worsen in the "foreseeable future," C. Elizabeth Gibson, the town manager, wrote in the 2021 Coastal Resilience Plan. "The risks for Nantucket, a maritime community, are significant."
In total, sea level rise, coastal flooding, and erosion are estimated to cause over $3.4 billion in cumulative damages to Nantucket over the next five decades, according to the plan.
But demand for properties has remained sky-high on the idyllic island. Last year's median home sale price was $3.2 million, up from $1.9 million five years prior, according to data from local firm Fisher Real Estate. Twenty-seven percent of the homes sold cost more than $5 million.
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:44:02 GMT -8
Are Monkey's Smarter Than MAGAs?
A Thai town, run ragged by its ever-growing population of marauding wild monkeys, launched an offensive against the simian raiders on Friday, using trickery and ripe tropical fruit.
Several high-profile cases of monkey-human conflict recently convinced authorities in Lopburi in central Thailand that they had to reduce the animals' numbers.
If all goes well, most will end up behind bars, before starting a new life elsewhere.
The first stage of the plan, instituted Friday, is to bait cages with the animals’ favorite food, then wait for hunger to get the better of their natural caution.
There was early success for the catchers on one street, with three of the macaques falling for the ruse and ending up trapped because they had fancied a taste of rambutan fruit. The cages had been placed on the street earlier in the week so the monkeys got used to them and found them less threatening.
There are thought to be around 2,500 monkeys running around the town. The capture of the unlucky trio and around 30 others -– trapped in other parts of the town -- slightly pared down that total.
The effort will go on for five days this month, then is likely to be repeated. Some of the monkeys will be left free to maintain Lopburi’s image as Thailand’s monkey town. (You really want to be known as "the monkey town"?)
But no one is expecting it to be easy.
“With the monkey’s intelligence, if some of them go into the cage and are caught, the others outside won’t enter the cage to get the food because they’ve already learnt what’s happened to their friends,” said Patarapol Maneeorn from Thailand’s Department of National Parks, Wildlife and Plant Conservation.
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Post by mhbruin on May 24, 2024 8:48:04 GMT -8
Kicks, Just Kicks, Getting Harder to FindGeorge Conway: So, just for kicks, I put up a billboard a few miles south of Palm Beach on I-95 South, perfect for anyone happening to travel from Mar-a-Lago to Doral to, say, play golf. Right around Exit 64, I believe. They’re going to send me better photos later.
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Post by gainsborough on May 24, 2024 11:01:08 GMT -8
The real reason for the failure of Red Lobster chain is obvious, and I'm surprised nobody has commented about it.
Put simply, men are not fucking Beyonce properly.
Beyonce told us in her song Formation: "When he fuck me good, I take his ass to Red Lobster ('cause I slay)"
If more guys were up to the task, Red Lobster's revenues would have taken off, like a rocket. But they didn't, sales are flat, and now we're all gonna miss those cheesy biscuits.
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