Post by mhbruin on Apr 22, 2020 9:59:04 GMT -8
There are quite a few changes in the data. First, I am sorry about all the dots. This site doesn't let me cut and paste text easily. If I put in a few spaces to format stuff, it automatically removes all the extra spaces. Other than having a ton of work every day, so for the only solution I have found is to use something other than spaces to arrange columns.
Also, I have gotten rid of the % change column and replaced it with a 7-day moving average. Since more deaths seem to be reported on Tuesday through Friday, this smooths out the effect.
*** USA ***
_______________________Total_____New______7-Day______Total_____New___7-Day
____________Date_______Cases____Cases____Average____Deaths___Deaths__Average
Wednesday...8-Apr.....434,927...34,592...31,418.....14,788...1,947...1,384
Thursday....9-Apr.....468,566...33,639...31,956.....16,691...1,903...1,517
Friday.....10-Apr.....502,876...34,310...32,245.....18,747...2,056...1,620
Saturday...11-Apr.....532,879...30,003...31,646.....20,577...1,830...1,732
Sunday.....12-Apr.....560,300...27,421...31,947.....22,105...1,528...1,784
Monday.....13-Apr.....586,941...26,641...31,420.....23,640...1,535...1,824
Tuesday....14-Apr.....617,661...30,720...31,047.....29,825...6,185...2,426
Wednesday..15-Apr.....648,148...30,487...30,460.....32,588...2,763...2,543
Thursday...16-Apr.....677,570...29,422...29,858.....34,617...2,029...2,561
Friday.....17-Apr.....709,735...32,165...29,551.....37,154...2,537...2,630
Saturday...18-Apr.....738,792...29,057...29,416.....39,014...1,860...2,634
Sunday.....19-Apr.....764,636...25,844...29,191.....40,575...1,561...2,639
Monday.....20-Apr.....792,759...28,123...29,403.....42,514...1,939...2,696
Tuesday....21-Apr.....818,744...25,985...28,726.....45,318...2,804...2,213
New cases continue in the same range, but the moving average shows a slow downward trend.
We had our worst single day for deaths, except for the weird day when New York reported a bunch of old cases on one day. However, the moving average indicates that we might be peaking.
A lot of this is New York peaking. Their numbers are so big they tend to swamp other effects. Other states haven't peaked yet.
*** CALIFORNIA **
I don't have time right now to format the data, but new cases and deaths seem to be level or slightly trending up.
*** GEORGIA ***
Things look about the same. No indication numbers are declining. The stage is set for the great experiment.
Also, I have gotten rid of the % change column and replaced it with a 7-day moving average. Since more deaths seem to be reported on Tuesday through Friday, this smooths out the effect.
*** USA ***
_______________________Total_____New______7-Day______Total_____New___7-Day
____________Date_______Cases____Cases____Average____Deaths___Deaths__Average
Wednesday...8-Apr.....434,927...34,592...31,418.....14,788...1,947...1,384
Thursday....9-Apr.....468,566...33,639...31,956.....16,691...1,903...1,517
Friday.....10-Apr.....502,876...34,310...32,245.....18,747...2,056...1,620
Saturday...11-Apr.....532,879...30,003...31,646.....20,577...1,830...1,732
Sunday.....12-Apr.....560,300...27,421...31,947.....22,105...1,528...1,784
Monday.....13-Apr.....586,941...26,641...31,420.....23,640...1,535...1,824
Tuesday....14-Apr.....617,661...30,720...31,047.....29,825...6,185...2,426
Wednesday..15-Apr.....648,148...30,487...30,460.....32,588...2,763...2,543
Thursday...16-Apr.....677,570...29,422...29,858.....34,617...2,029...2,561
Friday.....17-Apr.....709,735...32,165...29,551.....37,154...2,537...2,630
Saturday...18-Apr.....738,792...29,057...29,416.....39,014...1,860...2,634
Sunday.....19-Apr.....764,636...25,844...29,191.....40,575...1,561...2,639
Monday.....20-Apr.....792,759...28,123...29,403.....42,514...1,939...2,696
Tuesday....21-Apr.....818,744...25,985...28,726.....45,318...2,804...2,213
New cases continue in the same range, but the moving average shows a slow downward trend.
We had our worst single day for deaths, except for the weird day when New York reported a bunch of old cases on one day. However, the moving average indicates that we might be peaking.
A lot of this is New York peaking. Their numbers are so big they tend to swamp other effects. Other states haven't peaked yet.
*** CALIFORNIA **
I don't have time right now to format the data, but new cases and deaths seem to be level or slightly trending up.
*** GEORGIA ***
Things look about the same. No indication numbers are declining. The stage is set for the great experiment.