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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 10:59:40 GMT -8
I'm terrified of elevators. I am taking steps to avoid them. How do You Feel About Losing 1/3rd of Your Net Worth?Defaulting on the US debt, According to Moody Analytics: "This economic scenario is cataclysmic. Based on simulations of the Moody’s Analytics model of the U.S. economy, the downturn would be comparable to that suffered during the financial crisis. That means real GDP would decline almost 4% peak to trough, nearly 6 million jobs would be lost, and the unemployment rate would surge back to close to 9%. Stock prices would be cut almost in one-third at the worst of the selloff, wiping out $15 trillion in household wealth. Treasury yields, mortgage rates, and other consumer and corporate borrowing rates spike, at least until the debt limit is resolved and Treasury payments resume. Even then, rates never fall back to where they were previously. Since U.S. Treasury securities no longer would be risk free, future generations of Americans would pay a steep economic price. Playing a Dangerous Game With the Debt LimitThe QOP Doesn't Care
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:02:07 GMT -8
England Picks a Fight With Scotland
The UK government has decided to block a controversial Scottish bill designed to make it easier for people to change their legal gender.
UK ministers say it would conflict with equality laws which apply across Great Britain.
It is the first use of a Section 35 order, which can block Scottish laws.
Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon called the move a "full-frontal attack" on the Scottish Parliament and vowed to oppose it.
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:03:33 GMT -8
Twitter and the Taliban Are Getting Along Just Fine (For a Small Fee)
The Taliban have started using Twitter's paid-for verification feature, meaning some now have blue ticks on their accounts.
Previously, the blue tick indicated "active, notable, and authentic accounts of public interest" verified by Twitter, and could not be purchased.
But now, users can buy them through the new Twitter Blue service.
At least two Taliban officials and four prominent supporters in Afghanistan are currently using the checkmarks.
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:07:28 GMT -8
The Slave Market in India
Twenty-nine-year-old Nazima Begum* sits cross-legged on the floor of her dark room, the windows covered with tarpaulin. On her lap is her youngest son, five-month-old Taufiq*, who plays with his mother’s face as she talks. Occasionally, she stops to plant a kiss on his head.
Nazima lives in this single room in Srinagar with Taufiq and her two older children, aged seven and 10. Her husband died from heart disease four months ago and although there is sadness in her voice, she says she tries to appear strong for her children.
Hers was neither a love marriage nor an arranged one. Nazima was kidnapped from her home state of West Bengal and transported 1,600km (1,000 miles) to Kashmir, where she was forced to marry a man 20 years her senior who had paid her traffickers $250 for a bride.
With his death, Nazima has been left to support her children alone as she contemplates an uncertain future.
‘We were all terrified’ The daughter of an agricultural labourer who had three other children, Nazima grew up in poverty.
So when, in the summer of 2012, a friend from Nazima’s village told her she’d heard that an NGO was looking to offer women and girls from poor backgrounds jobs in West Bengal’s capital, Kolkata, she decided to take the six-hour train journey to the city.
It was a sweltering afternoon when she arrived at her destination – a large glass building. There were a few men and many women – some her age, others older – she recalls.
One of the men served her tea. All these years later, she still remembers how it smelled of cardamom. And how, soon after drinking it, she found she could no longer talk. Unable to protest, she was led by two men to a car that was waiting outside.
There had been no NGO, no jobs for poor women and girls, no route out of the crippling poverty that had defined Nazima’s life – only traffickers waiting to exploit her.
She was driven to a railway station, where four men waited with four other women. On the train, the women were not allowed to make eye contact with each other, use the bathroom or eat.
“The men looked scary,” Nazima says. “I did not understand what was happening.”
A photo of a woman holding a baby in her lap. Nazima was trafficked from her home state of West Bengal to Kashmir in 2012 [Rifat Fareed/Al Jazeera] After 20 hours on the train, they reached Delhi. But their journey wasn’t over. The women were put on another train for the 13-hour journey to Jammu, a city in the south of Indian-administered Kashmir.
There, the traffickers handed them over to two Kashmiri men.
“We were all terrified,” she says. “We could not do anything as we were frightened that we might be harmed.”
Hungry and tired, the women were put in a cab and driven through treacherous mountain passes and along unpaved roads in the dark.
“In Jammu, I felt in a completely strange place, the language was completely different,” she says. “It looked like a different world.”
It was 6am when they finally reached Pattan, a picturesque village surrounded by apple orchards and paddy fields, in north Kashmir’s Baramulla district, 274km (170 miles) from Jammu.
They were taken to the home of one of the traffickers, where they were made to change out of the clothes they had by now been wearing for days.
Nazima says the new outfits they were told to wear “were not very nice”.
“It seemed they were not even new,” she adds.
As they changed, the women were able to talk to each other for the first time. But they didn’t have long. They would soon be taken one by one and handed over to the men they were to marry.
When Nazima’s turn came, she cried. But she says nobody cared.
“There was an old man who kept a hand on my head and I was introduced to my husband,” she says. “I was not able to understand what they were saying. There was an overwhelming fear in me.”
Then the old man announced that she was married.
Abdul Rashid Hanjura is a Kashmir-based lawyer and activist who has worked on human trafficking cases for the past 20 years. He tells Al Jazeera that there is “a full-fledged business for the brokers involved in bride trafficking” in the region. The brokers are the middlemen who connect Kashmiri men looking for a bride with the women trafficked from other parts of the country.
“This happens because of poverty,” he explains. “Many poor men are not able to afford marriage in Kashmir because we have many expensive rituals in which an average marriage costs more than $1,000.”
Trafficked brides – many of whom are underage – can cost as little as $80, he says. Sometimes, they are sold to the agents by their families.
“I saw one case where the agents paid just $35 [to a family],” he adds.
Hanjura believes there are thousands of trafficked brides in Kashmir, with cases dating back to the early 1990s, but says that without proper data the true number is impossible to know.
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:09:36 GMT -8
This is My First Choice
Ranked-choice voting is having a moment. The past year saw not only an expansion in the use of ranked-choice systems but also increased interest in instituting it more widely. And in 2023, legislatures in at least 14 states will consider bills that would move them to this increasingly popular model.
In ranked-choice elections, voters identify their first choices on their ballots, then rank the other candidates in order of preference. If no candidate receives a majority of first-choice votes on the first count, the election moves to an instant runoff. The candidate with the fewest votes gets eliminated, and ballots cast for that candidate are recast for voters’ second choices. The process repeats itself until a candidate reaches a majority.
Advocates of ranked-choice voting have long said the setup benefits moderate candidates who don’t play to either party’s fringe and work instead to appeal to the broadest number of people.
State lawmakers in both major parties seem to be listening to that argument.
Just two weeks into 2023, lawmakers in 14 states have introduced, filed and prefiled 27 bills that propose various iterations of ranked-choice voting, according to an NBC News review.
It Got a Democrat Into Congress in Alaska
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:12:22 GMT -8
This Feel-Good Story is Really a Feel-Bad StoryAn 82-year-old Walmart cashier is getting to retire after TikTok users raised more than $100,000 to make that possible. Butch Marion, the 82-year-old in question, is not the first elderly Walmart employee to be able to retire thanks to TikTok donations. It’s a whole damn trend. Carmen Kelly, another 82-year-old who had $50 in her bank account when a Walmart customer asked her why an elderly woman with a cane was working as a greeter, came before him as a recipient of $120,000 in fundraising. Nola Carpenter, 81, retired after a fundraising campaign that brought in more than $180,000. Marion, who spent 10 years in the Navy, was excited that the recent GoFundMe a TikToker set up for him would allow him to “go to Florida and see my kids,” and “enjoy my last 10 or 12 years I’ve got.” Then there are the campaigns to pay off school lunch debt. An 8-year-old boy sells keychains to pay off the lunch debt for his school, and yeah, that child is praiseworthy—but we should be talking about the existence of school lunch debt. The concept of school lunch debt, which is on the rise after Congress let free school lunch for all lapse. And of course it’s lovely that the handful of workers who benefit from these viral campaigns get to retire, or have reliable transportation to their jobs. But celebrating those isolated events misses the point that 82-year-olds shouldn’t be on their feet eight hours a day working at Walmart because it’s their only financial option. People shouldn’t be walking more than 10 miles to then work all day and walk back home because they can’t afford a car and there’s no reliable public transit. These are signs of a broken system and reminders of how many people are not getting that successful crowdfunding campaign, not joyous occasions to be celebrated. We see these signs everywhere, if we’re paying attention. In the very words “school lunch debt.” In the modest things that families celebrated being able to provide for their children during the six months of expanded child tax credit payments, things like special help for an autistic child or a puppy to comfort a newly orphaned one. Food was the top use of those checks, followed by utility payments. Our seniors should be able to retire with dignity. Our workers should have access to reliable public transit or the money to live within actual walking distance of their jobs or buy a reliable car. Our children should be fed. The moments when these things happen shouldn’t be headlines and hashtags.
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:15:15 GMT -8
The George Santos Story Keeps Getting Better (Or Is It Worse?)
George Santos, the freshman Republican congressman from New York who lied about his biography, has deeper ties than previously known to a businessman who cultivated close links with a onetime Trump confidant and who is the cousin of a sanctioned Russian oligarch, according to video footage and court documents.
Andrew Intrater and his wife each gave the maximum $5,800 to Santos’ main campaign committee and tens of thousands more since 2020 to committees linked to him, according to filings with the Federal Election Commission. Intrater’s cousin is Russian billionaire Viktor Vekselberg, who has been sanctioned by the U.S. government for his role in the Russian energy industry.
The relationship between Santos and Intrater goes beyond campaign contributions, according to a statement made privately by Santos in 2020 and a court filing the following year in a lawsuit brought by the Securities and Exchange Commission against a Florida-based investment firm, Harbor City Capital, where Santos worked for more than a year.
Taken together, the evidence suggests Santos may have had a business relationship with Intrater as Santos was first entering politics in 2020. It also shows, according to the SEC filing, that Intrater put hundreds of thousands of dollars into Santos’ onetime employer, Harbor City, which was accused by regulators of running a Ponzi scheme. Neither Santos nor Intrater responded to requests for comment. Attorneys who have represented Intrater also did not respond.
The congressman, whose election from Long Island last year helped the GOP secure its narrow House majority, has apologized for what he called “résumé embellishment” while rebuffing calls for his resignation. He is under scrutiny by prosecutors in New York and Rio de Janeiro.
While Intrater is a U.S. citizen, his company, the investment firm Columbus Nova, has historically had extensive ties to the business interests of his Russian cousin. As recently as 2018, when Vekselberg was sanctioned by the Treasury Department, his conglomerate was Columbus Nova’s largest client, the company confirmed to The Post that year.
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:17:29 GMT -8
This Woman Is So Stupid She Seems to Think All Chinese People Are MAGAs.
Last Wednesday, 56-year-old Billie R Davis stabbed an 18-year-old Indiana University student out of the blue as she was getting off the bus in Bloomington, Indiana. The attack caused the student to rush to hospital for treatment.
A review of bus video surveillance shows that (name withheld by the Bloomingtonian) and Billie Davis were not together and had no prior confrontations or negative interactions. The video shows Davis removing and unfolding the knife immediately prior to (victim’s name) exiting the bus. Billie appears to turn for a better position while clutching the knife. Davis then stabs and/or attempts to stab (victim) in on top of her head approximately seven times. Davis then folds the knife, puts it back in her pocket, and returns to her seat position on the bus. Davis doesn’t appear to acknowledge (victim) after stabbing her or have any other contact. Davis then exits the bus and was later located, arrested by Bloomington Police Officers.
Davis tried to justify attacking the Asian-American girl with a folding knife; she stated, “It would be one less person to blow up our country.” Davis was truly angered by the presence of Chinese people.
Aren't MAGAs Today's Terrorists?
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:22:30 GMT -8
The QOP Says the Biden Documents Thing is a Massive Story (While the Debt Limit is a Huge Deal.)
And the Media Falls For It.
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Post by mhbruin on Jan 16, 2023 11:43:32 GMT -8
You Need to Pick Your Battles
While Wagner mercenaries continue their slow grind down in Soledar, Ukrainian forces have their own slow grind around Kreminna.
Bakhmut is important because if Ukrainians fall back, the next town over will be leveled to the ground. It has no real strategic value. It just pushes the flattened front line a few kilometers west.
Kreminna (pre-war population, 18,000) is strategically important for two major reasons: it opens up a southern approach to Svatove and, beyond that, Starobilsk. If Ukraine takes those towns, it cuts Russia’s largest supply line feeding its war effort, from Belgorod, Russia.
Kreminna is also the gateway to the three cities of Rubizhne, Severodonetsk, and Lysychansk. As you can see on the map, Kreminna severs the road down from Svatove. That’s step one. If Ukraine can liberate Starobilsk, then that cluster of cities will have to be resupplied by a single road from the southeast—a road that also helps supply … Bakhmut. Russia’s rickety supply lines would be stressed even further.
That’s the difference between Ukraine’s war strategy and Russia’s. There’s a point to Ukraine’s actions—it is working to cut Russia’s struggling logistical lines. There’s no point to Russia’s, beyond ridiculous and useless war propaganda.
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