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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 7:41:06 GMT -8
At the end of his lecture, the German Lit professor wished his students a Goethe day. Do Persuadable Voters Actually Vote in the Midterms?In every election, there are solid Democratic voters and solid Republican voters — and then there are the voters who are less sure of where they stand. Those persuadable voters are often the difference between winning and losing and the NBC News poll shows they are a distinct group that tends to be concentrated in distinct areas. There are persuadable voters everywhere, but the NBC News poll has consistently shown they are most heavily based in Outer Suburb counties. Those 1,100 counties hold a plurality of the nation’s up-for-grabs electorate. This year the NBC News poll finds that 43% of all persuadable voters live in those Outer Suburbs, far more than other areas. Together the nation’s big city Urban Core counties and the near-in Urban Ring counties hold about the same number of persuadable voters. Rural counties only hold about 12% of the nation’s persuadables. And that Outer Suburb base for persuadable voters is not new. Going back to 2010, those Outer Ring suburb counties have held 42% or 43% of the persuadable vote. In short, the cities belong to the Democrats and rural America belongs to the Republicans, but the space between is where you are most likely to find voters who are weighing their alternatives.
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 7:44:42 GMT -8
Are the Russian on the Offensive Anywhere?With Ukraine moving forward on multiple fronts, Russia is still managing offensive actions, but just a few. On Thursday, Friday and Saturday, the same town names popped up: During the current day, units of the Defense Forces repelled enemy attacks in the areas of the settlements of Bakhmut, Zaitseve, Pervomaiske, Mykolayivka Druga and Novomykhailivka. Friday morning’s update also included the town of Vesela Dolyna, but otherwise, it was a virtual copy and paste over the past several days. Let’s see where those towns are: Russia’s entire offensive operations span a 75 kilometer (46 mile) strip of front out of roughly 800 kilometers of active front (500 miles)—less than 10% of the contact line. Russia has been banging their heads against most of those towns for months. I added Kodema, because pro-Russian outlets were so proud of taking that insignificant little spot on the map at the same time that Ukraine was sweeping across Kharkiv Oblast. But … so what? Who cares that Russia has gotten Pisky, or Kodema? They won’t capture Bakhmut, but if they did, also so what? It’s patently absurd that at the same time that Ukraine is notching gains in Kherson, Kharkiv, and northern Luhansk Oblasts, Russia is wasting time, men, and material pushing forward in a region that offers no strategic payoff.
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 7:48:18 GMT -8
Sorry, But It's Not Over
COVID deaths average 350 to 400 per day, and as we head into fall, they are trending upward. That's about 140,000 per year.
It's Not Over Because We Pretend It is Over
COVID deaths persist in part because we let them. America has largely decided to be done with the pandemic, even though the pandemic stubbornly refuses to be done with America. The country has lifted nearly all of its pandemic restrictions, and emergency pandemic funding has been drying up. For the most part, people have settled into whatever level of caution or disregard suits them. A Pew Research survey from May found that COVID did not even crack Americans’ list of the top 10 issues facing the country. Only 19 percent said that they consider it a big problem, and it’s hard to imagine that number has gone anywhere but down in the months since. COVID deaths have shifted from an emergency to the accepted collateral damage of the American way of life. Background noise.
On one level, this is appalling. To simply proclaim the pandemic over is to abandon the vulnerable communities and older people who, now more than ever, bear the brunt of its burden. Yet on an individual level, it’s hard to blame anyone for looking away, especially when, for most Americans, the risk of serious illness is lower now than it has been since early 2020. It’s hard not to look away when each day’s numbers are identically grim, when the devastation becomes metronomic. It’s hard to look each day at a number—491, 382, 494—and experience that number for what it is: the premature ending of so many individual human lives.
People grow accustomed to these daily tragedies because to not would be too painful. “We are, in a way, victims of our own success,” Steven Taylor, a psychiatrist at the University of British Columbia who has written one book on the psychology of pandemics and is at work on another, told me. Our adaptability is what allowed us to weather the worst of the pandemic, and it is also what’s preventing us from fully escaping the pandemic. We can normalize anything, for better or for worse. “We’re so resilient at adapting to threats,” Taylor said, that we’ve “even habituated to this.”
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 7:52:26 GMT -8
Let Me Say This Again, Because Clearly the National Media Isn't Listening to Me. THESE ARE NOT STUNTS!
The conceit of this dehumanizing bit of political theater was that the liberal denizens of Martha’s Vineyard would reject the migrants out of hypocrisy, thus proving that Democrats aren’t actually interested in welcoming immigrants into their communities. To DeSantis and his amen corner, asylum seekers are disposable, and they believe that liberals will want to dispose of them too.
What happened, instead, was that residents of Martha’s Vineyard rallied to provide food, shelter, clothing and services. The asylum seekers are now on their way to Cape Cod, to receive further assistance. The stunt failed to make its intended point.
The same was true of a previous stunt, in which DeSantis touted the arrests of 20 former felons for election fraud. The intended message was that Florida, and presumably the entire country, needed to be on constant alert to block fraudulent voters. But in the days and weeks after the arrests, an investigation by The Tampa Bay Times found that the state had actually cleared those residents to vote. As far as they knew, they hadn’t broken the law. If anything, they had been entrapped as part of a scheme to make DeSantis a more attractive candidate for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
But I think these failed stunts tell us something important about DeSantis’s ability to succeed on the national stage.
In short, he’s not quite ready.
When You Screw Up People's Lives To Advance Your Career, It is Not a Stunt. It Is Narcissistic Evil.
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 8:00:32 GMT -8
More Ukraine News
Ukraine continues its offensive in the northeast while Russia has established a defensive line between the Oskil river and the town of Svatove, protecting one of its few main resupply routes from Russia’s Belgorod region, British military intelligence said.
The head of a pro-Russian administration pushed out by the counteroffensive, Vitaly Ganchev, accused Ukrainians of staging atrocities in the city of Izyum. United Nations human rights monitors will go to Izyum “to try to establish a bit more about what may have happened”, a spokesperson said.
Western sanctions are starting to hurt Russia’s ability to make advanced weaponry for the war in Ukraine, a top NATO military adviser said, though he added Russia could still manufacture “a lot of ammunition”.
Belying Putin’s claim that Russia is not isolated because it can look to Asian powers such as China and India, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi assailed the Kremlin chief, telling Putin this was not the time for war. A day earlier, Putin acknowledged what he said were Chinese President Xi Jinping’s concerns about the conflict.
Zelenskyy said he would only back the idea of reopening Russian ammonia exports through Ukraine if Moscow handed back prisoners of war, an idea the Kremlin quickly rejected.
And In Russia
On Friday, Ukraine reportedly struck the base of the Russian 3rd Motorized Rifle Division near Valuyki, just nine miles north of the Russia—Ukraine border. Russian officials did not acknowledge that a military target was hit but said one civilian died, and the local electrical grid experienced a temporary disruption.
Russia blamed the attacks on Ukraine, but Kyiv did not claim responsibility for striking targets in Russian territory.
He Can't Get No Respect
Russian President Vladimir Putin was mocked on social media after footage emerged of him waiting for foreign leaders at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, this week.
Four separate photos from the summit shared on Twitter by BBC journalist Andrey Zakharaov, show the Russian leader standing in front of a Russian flag as he waits for the leaders of Turkey, Azerbaijan, India and Kyrgyzstan to arrive and meet with him.
"The person who was deliberately late for meetings now shows up earlier. Something happened?" Zakharaov asked, according to a translation of his tweet written in Russian.
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 8:01:20 GMT -8
Who Won the Week?
VISA, Mastercard, and AmEx, for announcing plans to start separately categorizing sales at gun shops to help track suspicious surges of gun sales that could lead to a mass shooting
Ukraine, for liberating a huge swath of their country from the mighty Russian empire in one of the greatest David vs. Goliath counteroffensives in military history
President Biden: launches cancer moonshot initiative; 82nd judge confirmed; fights for railroad workers; wholesale inflation falls; and approval numbers continue rising
Rep. Mary Peltola (D-AK), who was sworn in this week. For the 1st time Congress has reps from USA’s indigenous peoples: Native American, Native Hawaiian, and Native Alaskan.
The wheels of justice, as DOJ subpoenas 40 Trump goons, The Jan. 6 committee gets Secret Service documents, and Mike Lindell gets his phone confiscated at Hardee's
Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard, for announcing all company profits will now go to fight the climate crisis, saying “Earth is now our only shareholder”
America's supply chain, as a railroad workers strike is averted (with a big assist from the White House)
Martha's Vineyard, for welcoming and providing beds, medical care, and food for the migrants flown there as a $12 million taxpayer-funded stunt by Florida Gov. Adolf Satan
All the leaky fountain pens that kept reminding King Charles III he's just a brackish bloke like everybody else
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 8:04:24 GMT -8
After Conducting a Battery of Tests
The terms “emergency” and “AAA” typically connote a roadside incident. Certain doctors in Dublin, however, are unlikely to ever associate those terms with anything but a recent surgery — during which they found dozens of batteries in a 66-year-old woman’s colon and stomach.
A report of the incident, published Thursday in the Irish Medical Journal, detailed the patient’s arrival at St. Vincent’s University Hospital, where an X-ray revealed the foreign objects in her body. Miraculously, none were obstructing her gastrointestinal tract, according to Live Science.
Doctors initially decided to wait in hopes that she would pass the batteries out of her body naturally. Though she released five AA batteries in the first week, subsequent X-rays showed that most were still stuck inside — and the woman began experiencing abdominal pain.
After realizing that her distended stomach was hanging above the pubic bone due to the weight of the batteries, surgeons cut into her abdomen and successfully removed 46 of them.
Unfortunately for all involved, four additional batteries remained trapped in the colon. As described in the report, doctors “milked” them into her rectum to remove them from her anus. This brought the total amount of batteries she ingested — both AA and AAA — to a whopping 55.
“To the best of our knowledge, this case represents the highest reported number of batteries ingested at a single point in time,” the journal article said.
There Was An Old Woman Who Swallowed a Fly. I Don't Know Why She Swallowed the Fly. Perhaps, She'll Die.
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 18, 2022 8:06:06 GMT -8
A TV Viewing Suggestion: This Starts Tonight.
Ken Burns calls "The U.S. and Holocaust " series the most important he ever did That means that he considers it more important than The Civil War, Baseball, Jazz, and National Parks, among so many others.
Burns was shocked and disgusted to discover how awful America's behavior was until the concentration camps were discovered late in the war. Of course, over half of America remained deeply antisemitic and deeply racist after the war ended.
Here is the schedule for the first showing of the three episodes, on PBS 13. It will follow shortly thereafter on WLIW 21 and other PBS stations.
Episodes
S1 E1 · The Golden Door (Beginnings -- 1938)
PREMIERE
Sep 18, 2022
Congress passes its first laws restricting immigration after decades of maintaining open borders; in Germany, Hitler and the Nazis begin their persecution of Jewish people, causing many to flee to other countries including America.
S1 E2 · Yearning to Breathe Free (1938-1942)
Sep 20, 2022
As World War II begins, Americans unite in their disapproval of Nazi brutality and work to help refugees escape; Charles Lindbergh and isolationists battle with President Roosevelt to keep America out of the war; Germany invades the Soviet Union.
S1 E3 · The Homeless, The Tempest-Tossed (1942 -- )
Sep 21, 2022
A group of government officials supports rescue operations; the public sees for the first time the scale of the Holocaust as Allies liberate German camps.
Ironically, there are even political ramifications here: Why think of America as a place to make "Great Again" when antisemitism and Jim Crow were both so dominant after Reconstruction ended in the South, and the Right/GOP is so dominated by Replacement Theory that worries about whites (excluding Jews) becoming a minority is their key theme? America has the potential to become great, but not under
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hasben
Resident Member
Posts: 1,047
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Post by hasben on Sept 19, 2022 7:53:14 GMT -8
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Post by gainsborough on Sept 19, 2022 16:09:46 GMT -8
The woman reportedly swallowed the batteries "in an apparent act of deliberate self-harm."
I wonder.... will anyone will be charged? (pun intended).
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Post by mhbruin on Sept 20, 2022 8:14:43 GMT -8
The woman reportedly swallowed the batteries "in an apparent act of deliberate self-harm." I wonder.... will anyone will be charged? (pun intended). With assault and battery?
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Post by gainsborough on Sept 20, 2022 14:16:12 GMT -8
Thank you for picking it up. The joke was sitting there for more than half a day and I thought no one would land the plane...
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