Post by mhbruin on May 17, 2022 14:32:51 GMT -8
Rothstein
18. Oregon
G Will Richardson
G Jermaine Couisnard
G Keeshawn Barthelemy
F Quincy Guerrier
C N’Faly Dante
Projected Bench: Dior Johnson, Nate Bittle, Kel’el Ware, Rivaldo Soares, Lok Wur, Tyrone Williams
Key Losses: Will Richardson, Eric Williams, Jacob Young, Franck Kepnang, Isaac Johnson, De’Vion Harmon
Key Newcomers: Tyrone Williams (JUCO), Kel’el Ware, Dior Johnson, Keeshawn Barthelemy (Colorado), Jermaine Couisnard (South Carolina)
Next are the 5th-7th place Oregon Ducks. Coming off of two straight Pac-12 titles, Oregon fans don't expect 19-14 records and an NIT bid. This was only the second time in the last 10 years that Altman didn't get them into the NCAA tournament.
What went wrong. Perhaps it's the transfer portal. For years, Dana Altman has used transfers to fill his roster with proven, more experienced players. However, everyone has discovered the portal, and even the top programs are scouring the portal for elite talent. Last season his incoming transfers were ranked #21, #25, and #47.
With the loss of Chris Duarte and Eugene Omoruyi to the pros, Altman needed to find some productive transfers to replace them. The transfers coming to Oregon just weren't as good as the guys who left.
Altman can still coach. However, the game is changing.
GRADUATING
Young was their second-leading scorer and led the team in steals, but he wasn't a great shooter.
IN THE DRAFT OR TURNING PRO
Neither Guerrier or Richardson was invited to the draft combine, and I am going to assume they will both be back in Eugene for another season. Without them, the Ducks would not have a good season.
There is a small chance Richardson doesn't come back.
Guerrier did nothing to indicate he is ready for the NBA. I imagine he just wants the feedback. He would have be delusional to think any NBA team wants him right now. I don't think he is delusional.
TRANSFERRING OUT
Kepnang was big and strong, and looked good at time. In limited minutes, he led the team in blocks. Oregon is loaded at center, so I don't think he will be missed.
De'VionHarmon had a good season and will be missed.
Williams looked pretty good for his first season in Eugene, but his production and minutes fell off last season.
RETURNING
Note about classes: With the extra year of eligibility, there is no clear way to label players. If a player is in his 4th season, but will have another year of eligibility after this year, I am calling him "Jr 4".
If Richarson and Guerrier return, Altman has an good core of returning players to build on. If they don't, he is screwed.
Richardson was second team All-Pac-12 last season. He did everything really well, except sometimes he didn't seem assertive enough. He has the skills to take over a game. If he finds the will to do it, he should be one of the best players in the league.
Guerrier scored over 20 four times last season. However, he needs more consistency.
Soares was a decent reserve last year. He is likely to be a starter and he will need to step it up for the Ducks.
Dante managed to finally stay healthy last season, and looked pretty good. If he can find a more consistent offensive game, he could be a force.
Bittle looked a bit lost out there last season, but he has talent. He should be a quality backup to Dante.
They issues with this roster seem pretty common, shooting and PG player. Other than Richardson, no one is a very good outside shooter. Also, Richardson is the only one with a decent A/TO ratio,. It should be clear why his return would be so important to the team.
Richardson he is probably better playing off the ball. If Altman can come up with a quality PG, it will help this team a lot.
RECRUITS
(#15 class, #3 in Pac-12)
Ware is not Superman'. Superman's real name is Kal-El. Kel'el Ware is a 5-star center. If you are counting, there are three of them on the Ducks roster. I am not sure how Altman finds enough PT to keep them all happy.
Dior Johnson had a bit of a reputation as a selfish player in high school, but he was surrounded by so little talent, perhaps he had to take a ton of shots. When I saw him, I though he was a good player. If he shoots well as a freshman and is an effective PG, that will help this team a lot. That's a lot to expect from a freshman.
Couisnard doesn't make food processors. He led the Gamecocks in scoring, assists, and steals. He also led them turnovers and his shooting percentage wasn't great, which may be why he was only a part-time starter for the other USC. He scored 33 against LSU. He scored a total of 3 points in two games against Tennessee. I guess he's like a box of chocolates.
Barthélémy was a nice-looking PG at Colorado. He managed the game well, and that may be the Ducks need to feed the ball to Richardson. Barthélémy had a pretty good 1.8 A/TO ratio. However, he shot the ball worse than Couisnard.
CONCLUSION
18. Oregon
G Will Richardson
G Jermaine Couisnard
G Keeshawn Barthelemy
F Quincy Guerrier
C N’Faly Dante
Projected Bench: Dior Johnson, Nate Bittle, Kel’el Ware, Rivaldo Soares, Lok Wur, Tyrone Williams
Key Losses: Will Richardson, Eric Williams, Jacob Young, Franck Kepnang, Isaac Johnson, De’Vion Harmon
Key Newcomers: Tyrone Williams (JUCO), Kel’el Ware, Dior Johnson, Keeshawn Barthelemy (Colorado), Jermaine Couisnard (South Carolina)
Next are the 5th-7th place Oregon Ducks. Coming off of two straight Pac-12 titles, Oregon fans don't expect 19-14 records and an NIT bid. This was only the second time in the last 10 years that Altman didn't get them into the NCAA tournament.
What went wrong. Perhaps it's the transfer portal. For years, Dana Altman has used transfers to fill his roster with proven, more experienced players. However, everyone has discovered the portal, and even the top programs are scouring the portal for elite talent. Last season his incoming transfers were ranked #21, #25, and #47.
With the loss of Chris Duarte and Eugene Omoruyi to the pros, Altman needed to find some productive transfers to replace them. The transfers coming to Oregon just weren't as good as the guys who left.
Altman can still coach. However, the game is changing.
GRADUATING
| Player | Games | Starts | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
| Jacob Young | 35 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 4 |
Young was their second-leading scorer and led the team in steals, but he wasn't a great shooter.
IN THE DRAFT OR TURNING PRO
| Player | Games | Starts | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Can Return? |
| Quincy Guerrier | 35 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 1 | Yes |
| Will Richardson | 30 | 30 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 4 | Yes |
Neither Guerrier or Richardson was invited to the draft combine, and I am going to assume they will both be back in Eugene for another season. Without them, the Ducks would not have a good season.
There is a small chance Richardson doesn't come back.
Guerrier did nothing to indicate he is ready for the NBA. I imagine he just wants the feedback. He would have be delusional to think any NBA team wants him right now. I don't think he is delusional.
TRANSFERRING OUT
| Player | Games | Starts | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Destination |
| Franck Kepnang | 35 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | Washington |
| De'Vion Harmon | 35 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 2 | Texas Tech |
| Isaac Johnson | 14 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Utah State |
| Eric Williams, Jr. | 33 | 11 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 1 | San Diego |
Kepnang was big and strong, and looked good at time. In limited minutes, he led the team in blocks. Oregon is loaded at center, so I don't think he will be missed.
De'VionHarmon had a good season and will be missed.
Williams looked pretty good for his first season in Eugene, but his production and minutes fell off last season.
RETURNING
Note about classes: With the extra year of eligibility, there is no clear way to label players. If a player is in his 4th season, but will have another year of eligibility after this year, I am calling him "Jr 4".
| Player | Games | Starts | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | FG% | 3Pt% | A/TO | Class | Recruiting Stars | Recruiting Rank |
| Will Richardson | 30 | 30 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 45% | 39% | 1.7 | Sr 5 | 4 | 42 |
| Quincy Guerrier | 35 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 42% | 33% | 0.6 | Jr 4 | 4 | 121 |
| N'Faly Dante | 32 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 68% | 0.4 | Jr 4 | 5 | 24 | |
| Rivaldo Soares | 35 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 43% | 27% | 1.1 | Jr 4 | #10 Juco | |
| Nate Bittle | 23 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 20% | 0.3 | So | 5 | 16 |
| Lok Wur | 12 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27% | 29% | 2.0 | So 3 | 3 | 478 |
If Richarson and Guerrier return, Altman has an good core of returning players to build on. If they don't, he is screwed.
Richardson was second team All-Pac-12 last season. He did everything really well, except sometimes he didn't seem assertive enough. He has the skills to take over a game. If he finds the will to do it, he should be one of the best players in the league.
Guerrier scored over 20 four times last season. However, he needs more consistency.
Soares was a decent reserve last year. He is likely to be a starter and he will need to step it up for the Ducks.
Dante managed to finally stay healthy last season, and looked pretty good. If he can find a more consistent offensive game, he could be a force.
Bittle looked a bit lost out there last season, but he has talent. He should be a quality backup to Dante.
They issues with this roster seem pretty common, shooting and PG player. Other than Richardson, no one is a very good outside shooter. Also, Richardson is the only one with a decent A/TO ratio,. It should be clear why his return would be so important to the team.
Richardson he is probably better playing off the ball. If Altman can come up with a quality PG, it will help this team a lot.
RECRUITS
(#15 class, #3 in Pac-12)
| Player | Size | Position | Recruiting Stars | Recruiting Rank | Offers |
| Kel'el Ware | 7-0 210 | C | 5 | 9 | Arkansas, Baylor, Kansas, Illinois |
| Dior Johnson | 6-3 180 | PG | 4 | 36 | Syracuse, Alabama, Arizona St, Memphis |
| Tyrone Williams | 6-5 200 | SG | #2 JUCO | Penn State | |
| Brennan Rigsby | 6-3 180 | PG | #10 JUCO | Buffalo, Missouri, New Mexico St |
Ware is not Superman'. Superman's real name is Kal-El. Kel'el Ware is a 5-star center. If you are counting, there are three of them on the Ducks roster. I am not sure how Altman finds enough PT to keep them all happy.
Dior Johnson had a bit of a reputation as a selfish player in high school, but he was surrounded by so little talent, perhaps he had to take a ton of shots. When I saw him, I though he was a good player. If he shoots well as a freshman and is an effective PG, that will help this team a lot. That's a lot to expect from a freshman.
TRANSFERRING IN
| Player | Size | Games | Starts | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | FG % | 3-Pt % | From | Class | Recruiting Stars | Recruiting Rank |
| Keeshawn Barthélémy | 6-2 171 | 33 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 35% | 30% | Colorado | So 3 | 3 | 170 |
| Jermaine Couisnard | 6-4 211 | 26 | 16 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 40% | 32% | South Carolina | Jr 4 | 3 | 218 |
Couisnard doesn't make food processors. He led the Gamecocks in scoring, assists, and steals. He also led them turnovers and his shooting percentage wasn't great, which may be why he was only a part-time starter for the other USC. He scored 33 against LSU. He scored a total of 3 points in two games against Tennessee. I guess he's like a box of chocolates.
Barthélémy was a nice-looking PG at Colorado. He managed the game well, and that may be the Ducks need to feed the ball to Richardson. Barthélémy had a pretty good 1.8 A/TO ratio. However, he shot the ball worse than Couisnard.
CONCLUSION
If Will Richardson makes his expected return, I think the Ducks will be a little better than last year. They won't be the most talented team in the league, but they have a potential star and a bunch of good players.
I think Dana Altman can put these guys together into a quality Pac-12 team. With the weakness of most of the Pac-12, that a pretty low bar.
They should be in the top half of the league, but a step below the top teams.
I think Dana Altman can put these guys together into a quality Pac-12 team. With the weakness of most of the Pac-12, that a pretty low bar.
They should be in the top half of the league, but a step below the top teams.